Forecasting Technique of Line Utilization based on SNMP MIB-II Using Time Series Analysis 


Vol. 6,  No. 9, pp. 2470-2478, Sep.  1999
10.3745/KIPSTE.1999.6.9.2470


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  Abstract

In this paper, algorithm is proposed to forecast line utilization using SNMP MIB-II. We calculate line utilization using SNMP MIB-II on TCP/IP based Internet and suggest a method for forecasting a line utilization on the basis of past line utilization. We use a MA model taking difference transform among ARIMA methods. A system for forecasting is proposed. To show availability of this algorithm, some results are shown and analyzed about routers on real environments. We get a future line utilization using this algorithm and compare it to real data. Correct results are obtained in case of being few data deviating from mean value. This algorithm for forecasting line utilization can give effect to line capacity plan for a manager by forecasting the future status of TCP/IP network. This will also help a network management of decision making of performance upgrade.

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[IEEE Style]

H. W. Taek, A. S. Jin, C. J. Wook, "Forecasting Technique of Line Utilization based on SNMP MIB-II Using Time Series Analysis," The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society (1994 ~ 2000), vol. 6, no. 9, pp. 2470-2478, 1999. DOI: 10.3745/KIPSTE.1999.6.9.2470.

[ACM Style]

Hong Won Taek, Ahn Seong Jin, and Chung Jin Wook. 1999. Forecasting Technique of Line Utilization based on SNMP MIB-II Using Time Series Analysis. The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society (1994 ~ 2000), 6, 9, (1999), 2470-2478. DOI: 10.3745/KIPSTE.1999.6.9.2470.

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